Grand National Tips for 2010

Our Grand National Tip to Win

20		Snowy Morning	16/1		FREE Grand National Bets Guide
Snowy Morning is one of two strong horses for Willie Mullins who also runs Arbor Supreme and won the 2005 National with Hedgehunter. Fine third place in 2008 but made errors and not at his best when ninth last year. This classy horse has been in decent form in Ireland this season and he looks the sort to definitely get round and could get a place. Tendency to make a mistake or two remains a worry, but not done much wrong this season over mostly inadequate distances, including when a good third to Tranquil Sea at Leopardstown at the end of February. Fits most of the grand national trends and one of the more likely contenders. David Casey, closest in ten attempts when third on him two years ago.

Our Each Way Tip

23		State of Play	20/1		FREE Grand National Bets Guide
State of Play, the 2006 Hennessy winner was a fine fourth in the National last year off a 5lb higher mark and might have finished second but for mid-race errors leaving him to play catch up. Usually a sound jumper and his trainer’s ploy of keeping him fresh not run since November and could be rewarded as he’s undoubtedly at his best after a break. His record since 2005 after a rest of four months or more reads 1112P and you can excuse that last figure as he was found to have a small problem afterwards. Would not want the going to get too soft.

Do You Remember The First time you had a bet on the Grand National?

For plenty of us (of a certain age) that meant giving your Dad 50p of your pocket money to have on The Pilgarlic each-way (look it up) or for those of you a bit younger, maybe Earth Summit. One thing is for sure though, since those days, there’s so much more choice. So, with more bookmakers than ever, all with offers to tempt you in on National day, rather than give you another boring A-Z of the runners, here’s a few do’s and dont’s for the big day.

1) Most grand national bookmakers push the boat out and on the day of the race will be offering some great “free bet matching” offers, often up to £100 for first-timers. It’s silly not to take advantage – it doesn’t take long to open an account over the phone or on the net – so if you are going to have a bet, you may as well have a free one too! Just make sure you read the t’s and c’s though.

2) Have a shop around. Don’t just bet with the first bookmaker you stumble across on saturday. A few of them will be paying 1-2-3-4-5 e/w. Again, it’s only common sense to use them – imagine your 100/1 shot finishing fifth, only to find you’ve backed it e/w with a bookie only paying first four. How willl you feel then? Gutted!

3) Make sure you take a price. It’s very rare for horses to drift badly on the day, but they can collapse in price – Monkerhostin and Papillon in recent years were both big prices in the morning, backed down to single figure prices in the afternoon – so although it can be a bit of a pain (particularly if you’re putting on the family bets!) it’s a worthwhile exercise. Imagine Aunty Doris’ face when she finds out she’s got 33’s about that 14/1 winner. Must be a drink in it for you. Put simply – everything gets backed on the day, such is the spread of money.

4) Don’t get lured into “special” bets, such as “how many fallers at the first” or “how many will complete the course”. These are often extremely difficult to predict, and effectively rely on a lot of guesswork and good fortune. And don’t, repeat DON’T, think of backing any of those bets that involve a group of named horses finishing. They never win. Ever.

5) Having said that though, for those of you happy to make a profit at any price, you can often find a bit of value about individual runners to complete the course. Look for the slow-but-steady merchants. You can often find odds-against prices about them completing. It’s a bet well worth considering as these days the National is a bit more of a classy affair, and the horses are safer conveyances than once was the case.

6) And lastly, don’t be afraid of backing more than one horse in the race. This is just about the only race in the year when you can get some fancy prices about some classy horses – don’t let the opportunity pass you by.

So there you go. there’s plenty of ways to make a profit on the National – just make sure you follow the rules – and the best of luck finding the winner. (Oh you want that too, eh? Try a few quid e/w on Big Fella Thanks then – it’s simple!)